000 WTNT34 KNHC 080838 TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM COLIN ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042010 500 AM AST SUN AUG 08 2010 ...COLIN MOVING NORTHWARD TOWARD BERMUDA... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.7N 65.6W ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM SSW OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB...29.88 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM COLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.6 WEST. COLIN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR. A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AND A FURTHER INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED ON MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF COLIN WILL PASS NEAR OR OVER BERMUDA LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TODAY...WITH SOME STRENGTHENING POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND MONDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB...29.88 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD OVER BERMUDA TODAY. STORM SURGE...COLIN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE COASTAL FLOODING AND LARGE AND BATTERING WAVES IN BERMUDA...PARTICULARLY ALONG SOUTH-FACING BEACHES. RAINFALL...COLIN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES IN BERMUDA. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM AST. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN