000 WTNT34 KNHC 060259 TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM COLIN ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042010 1100 PM AST THU AUG 05 2010 ...COLIN CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARD BERMUDA... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.3N 66.6W ABOUT 430 MI...690 KM SSW OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO BERMUDA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM COLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.6 WEST. COLIN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH...ACCOMPANIED BY A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED...IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HR. ON THE FORECAST TRACK... THE CENTER OF COLIN IS EXPECTED TO PASS JUST WEST OF BERMUDA ON SATURDAY. HOWEVER...ONLY A SLIGHT DEVIATION TO THE EAST COULD BRING THE CENTER OVER THE ISLAND. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND FRIDAY... WITH SOME STRENGTHENING FORECAST FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM NORTHEAST THROUGH SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD OVER BERMUDA WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES...WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ON BERMUDA...ESPECIALLY ALONG SOUTH-FACING BEACHES. RAINFALL...HEAVY RAIN SQUALLS SHOULD BEGIN TO AFFECT BERMUDA BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON...AND TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ON THE ISLAND. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM AST. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER STEWART