000
WTNT34 KNHC 140840
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION IKE ADVISORY NUMBER  53
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092008
400 AM CDT SUN SEP 14 2008

...IKE ACCELERATING NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS NORTHERN ARKANSAS...
 
AT 400 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION IKE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.5 WEST OR NEAR BULL
SHOALS ARKANSAS.  THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 115 MILES...
185 KM...NORTH OF LITTLE ROCK ARKANSAS...AND ABOUT 75 MILES...
120 KM...SOUTHEAST OF SPRINGFIELD MISSOURI.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 30 MPH...50 KM/HR.  A
GENERAL MOTION TOWARD THE NORTHEAST WITH AN ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  THIS
MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF IKE THROUGH THE MID-MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY TODAY AND INTO THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES STATES BY MONDAY
MORNING.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  IKE SHOULD LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS DURING THE NEXT 12
TO 24 HOURS AS IT MERGES WITH A COLD FRONT.  THE SYSTEM COULD
STRENGTHEN AS A NON-TROPICAL LOW SUNDAY NIGHT OR MONDAY.  WINDS OF
30 TO 35 MPH...50 TO 55 KM/HR...WITH GUSTS OF 40 TO 45 MPH...65 TO
70 KM/HR...HAVE BEEN REPORTED AT SEVERAL STATIONS IN EASTERN
ARKANSAS DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS
IS 986 MB...29.12 INCHES.
 
WATER LEVELS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE ALONG THE UPPER TEXAS AND
SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA COASTS TODAY.
 
IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5
INCHES FROM MISSOURI INTO ILLINOIS...NORTHERN INDIANA...AND
SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY FROM SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI AND
THE TENNESSEE VALLEY NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY.
 
REPEATING THE 400 AM CDT POSITION...36.4 N...92.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 30 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB.
 
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.  FUTURE ADVISORIES ON IKE WILL BE ISSUED BY
THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER IN WASHINGTON DC.
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN