000
WTNT34 KNHC 140548
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION IKE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  52A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092008
100 AM CDT SUN SEP 14 2008
 
...IKE WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER WESTERN ARKANSAS...

AT 100 AM CDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION IKE WAS
LOCATED INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 35.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.9 WEST...OR
ABOUT 25 MILES...40 KM...EAST OF FORT SMITH ARKANSAS AND ABOUT
105 MILES...170 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF LITTLE ROCK ARKANSAS.
 
IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 24 MPH...39 KM/HR.  A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED TODAY.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF IKE WILL MOVE
INTO SOUTHERN MISSOURI LATER THIS MORNING...AND OVER THE MIDWESTERN
STATES LATER TODAY AS IKE LOSES TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...
55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  CONTINUED WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS
IKE MOVES FARTHER INLAND TODAY.  SOME RESTRENGTHENING IS FORECAST
BY MONDAY AFTER IKE LOSES TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS
IS 986 MB...29.12 INCHES.
 
WATER LEVELS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE ALONG THE UPPER TEXAS AND
SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA COASTS TODAY AS IKE MOVES FARTHER INLAND.
 
IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN
OKLAHOMA...WESTERN ARKANSAS...MISSOURI...ILLINOIS...NORTHERN
INDIANA...AND SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN THROUGH SUNDAY.  ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS
OF NORTHEASTERN TEXAS...NORTHWESTERN LOUISIANA...AND SOUTHEASTERN
OKLAHOMA THIS MORNING.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY IN NORTHERN LOUISIANA...
ARKANSAS...AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI.
 
REPEATING THE 100 AM CDT POSITION...35.4 N...93.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 24 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 400 AM CDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN