000
WTNT34 KNHC 140254
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM IKE ADVISORY NUMBER  52
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092008
1000 PM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

...IKE STILL A TROPICAL STORM AS IT HEADS INTO ARKANSAS...
 
AT 1000 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IKE WAS
LOCATED INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 34.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.9
WEST...ABOUT 60 MILES...95 KM...NORTH OF TEXARKANA...AND ABOUT 100
MILES...160 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF LITTLE ROCK ARKANSAS.
 
IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 24 MPH...39 KM/HR.  A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED TONIGHT AND EARLY ON SUNDAY.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF IKE WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHERN MISSOURI ON SUNDAY
MORNING...AND OVER THE MIDWESTERN STATES LATER ON SUNDAY AS IKE
LOSES TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS IKE MOVES FARTHER
INLAND...AND IT IS EXPECTED BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY ON SUNDAY.  SOME RESTRENGTHENING IS FORECAST
BY MONDAY AFTER IKE LOSES TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165
KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS
IS 982 MB...29.00 INCHES.

WATER LEVELS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE ALONG THE UPPER TEXAS AND
SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA COASTS TONIGHT AND SUNDAY AS IKE MOVES
FARTHER INLAND.

IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN
OKLAHOMA...WESTERN ARKANSAS...MISSOURI...ILLINOIS...NORTHERN
INDIANA...AND SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN THROUGH SUNDAY.  ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS
OF NORTHEASTERN TEXAS...NORTHWESTERN LOUISIANA...AND SOUTHEASTERN
OKLAHOMA TONIGHT.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY IN NORTHERN
LOUISIANA...ARKANSAS...AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI.
 
REPEATING THE 1000 PM CDT POSITION...34.3 N...93.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 24 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 100 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 400
AM CDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER KNABB