000
WTNT34 KNHC 132359
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM IKE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  51A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092008
700 PM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008
 
...POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING AND TORNADOES CONTINUES AS IKE HEADS
FARTHER INLAND...
 
AT 700 PM CDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IKE WAS LOCATED
INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 33.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.8 WEST OR ABOUT 50
MILES...80 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF TEXARKANA.
 
IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 21 MPH...33 KM/HR.  A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED TONIGHT AND ON SUNDAY.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER
OF IKE WILL MOVE OVER WESTERN ARKANSAS TONIGHT...AND OVER THE
MIDWESTERN STATES ON SUNDAY AS IKE LOSES TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  CONTINUED WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS IKE MOVES
FARTHER INLAND...AND IT IS EXPECTED BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY ON SUNDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
MAINLY EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.
 
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 8 TO 10 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
TIDE LEVELS IS STILL OCCURRING ALONG PORTIONS OF THE UPPER TEXAS AND
SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA COASTS.  WATER LEVELS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY AS IKE MOVES FARTHER INLAND.

IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 5
INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN TEXAS AND WESTERN LOUISIANA...WHICH
WILL BRING STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 15 INCHES.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF 3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA...WESTERN ARKANSAS...SOUTHERN AND
EASTERN MISSOURI...ILLINOIS...NORTHERN INDIANA...AND SOUTHERN LOWER
MICHIGAN THROUGH SUNDAY.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT IN NORTHEASTERN TEXAS...
NORTHERN LOUISIANA...ARKANSAS...AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI.

REPEATING THE 700 PM CDT POSITION...33.3 N...94.8 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 21 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1000 PM CDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER KNABB