000
WTNT34 KNHC 240843
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DOLLY ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL042008
400 AM CDT THU JUL 24 2008

...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE OVER DEEP SOUTH TEXAS...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE TEXAS COAST
FROM BROWNSVILLE TO PORT ARANSAS.  THIS WARNING WILL LIKELY BE
DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 400 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.6 WEST OR ABOUT 95
MILES...155 KM...NORTHWEST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.
 
DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR.  A
CONTINUED MOTION TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT DAY OR SO...WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED UNTIL THE
SYSTEM DISSIPATES ON FRIDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES FARTHER INLAND...AND
IT IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY TONIGHT.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991 MB...29.26 INCHES.
 
DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12
INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES...OVER PORTIONS OF
SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO.  THESE RAINS ARE VERY LIKELY TO
CAUSE WIDESPREAD FLOODING.
 
REPEATING THE 400 AM CDT POSITION...26.9 N...98.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 700 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1000
AM CDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER KNABB