000
WTNT33 KNHC 220242
TCPAT3
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082011
1000 PM CDT SUN AUG 21 2011
 
...HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH HARVEY ARE SPREADING WESTWARD OVER
SOUTHERN MEXICO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.0N 95.0W
ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM NW OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO
ABOUT 210 MI...335 KM SE OF TUXPAN MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO FROM PUNTA EL LAGARTO TO BARRA DE
NAUTLA
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.0 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19
KM/H. A TURN TO THE WEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  ON THIS TRACK...HARVEY IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO MONDAY MORNING.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE...AND HARVEY COULD BECOME A
TROPICAL STORM BEFORE MOVING INLAND OVER MEXICO.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES
OF VERACRUZ...OAXACA...HIDALGO...PUEBLA...AND TIAXCALA...WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES.  THESE RAINS
COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...
ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.
 
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN A PORTION OF THE
WARNING AREA OVERNIGHT AND INTO MONDAY MORNING.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 AM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BROWN