000
WTNT33 KNHC 150832
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAULA ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL     AL182010
500 AM EDT FRI OCT 15 2010
 
...PAULA WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION NEAR THE NORTH COAST OF
CENTRAL CUBA...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.1N 80.2W
ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM E OF VARADERO CUBA
ABOUT 60 MI...100 KM NW OF CAIBARIEN CUBA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 85 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAULA
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.2 WEST.  THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR.  THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST
AND SOUTH IS FORECAST ON SATURDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS...AND PAULA IS EXPECTED TO DEGENERATE TO A REMNANT LOW
PRESSURE AREA BY SATURDAY.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...PAULA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER CENTRAL CUBA AND THE CENTRAL
BAHAMAS THROUGH SATURDAY.
 
STORM SURGE...STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE COAST OF NORTH CENTRAL
CUBA SHOULD SUBSIDE TODAY.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN