000 WTNT33 KNHC 221741 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE BILL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 29A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032009 200 PM AST SAT AUG 22 2009 ...HURRICANE BILL MOVING NORTHWARD WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR NOVA SCOTIA FROM CHARLESVILLE IN SHELBURNE COUNTY EASTWARD TO ECUM SECUM IN HALIFAX COUNTY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM JUST EAST OF ECUM SECUM TO POINT ACONI. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF POINT ACONI WESTWARD TO TIDNISH AND FROM VICTORIA IN QUEEN COUNTY NORTHWARD TO LOWER DARNLEY IN PRINCE COUNTY...PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND...AND AROUND THE WESTERN PORTION OF NOVA SCOTIA FROM FORT LAWRENCE IN CUMBERLAND COUNTY TO CHARLESVILLE. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FOR FROM PARSONS POND AROUND THE SOUTHWESTERN PORTION OF NEWFOUNDLAND TO ARNOLDS COVE. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MASSACHUSETTS FROM WOODS HOLE TO SAGAMORE BEACH...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET. AT 2 PM AST...1800 UTC..THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BERMUDA HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE COAST OF NEW ENGLAND AND IN THE REMAINDER OF THE CANADIAN MARITIMES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF BILL. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES...INCLUDING INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. AT 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BILL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.8 WEST OR ABOUT 369 MILES... 595 KM...SOUTH OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS. BILL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 23 MPH...37 KM/HR AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST ON SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CORE OF HURRICANE BILL SHOULD PASS OFFSHORE THE COAST OF NEW ENGLAND LATE TODAY OR TONIGHT AND APPROACH NOVA SCOTIA ON SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. BILL IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE POSSIBLE TODAY BUT A GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND SUNDAY AS THE CENTER OF BILL MOVES NORTH OF THE GULF STREAM. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES...445 KM. LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 964 MB...28.47 INCHES. TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 7 INCHES ARE EXPECTED NEAR THE TRACK OF BILL ACROSS NOVA SCOTIA...PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND AND NEWFOUNDLAND. 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN IS EXPECTED OVER NANTUCKET ISLAND AND BERMUDA...AN NEAR 1 INCH OVER OUTER CAPE COD AND MARTHAS VINEYARD. LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE BILL ARE STILL AFFECTING THE BAHAMAS AND BERMUDA...AND THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES. LARGE SWELLS WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF THE U.S. EAST COAST AND THE ATLANTIC MARITIMES OF CANADA LATER TODAY AND SUNDAY. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SURF AND LIFE-THREATENING RIP CURRENTS. ...SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST INFORMATION... LOCATION...36.0N 68.8W MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 23 MPH MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...964 MB THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER AVILA