000
WTNT32 KNHC 042033
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Fernand Advisory Number   7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL072019
400 PM CDT Wed Sep 04 2019

...FERNAND PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN
MEXICO...
...THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.4N 98.3W
ABOUT 50 MI...85 KM NW OF LA PESCA MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm
Warning from Puerto Altamira to the Mouth of the Rio Grande River.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Fernand
was located near latitude 24.4 North, longitude 98.3 West. The
depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h).
This general motion is forecast to continue through tonight.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with
higher gusts. A steady decrease in winds is anticipated and Fernand
will likely dissipate tonight or early Thursday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Fernand is expected to produce the following rainfall
totals through Thursday:

Northeast Mexico:
Tamaulipas and Central/Southern Nuevo Leon...6 to 12 inches,
isolated 18 inches. Greatest amounts in the Sierra Madre Oriental.
This rainfall may cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.

Northern Nuevo Leon and Southern Coahuila: 2 to 5 inches.

United States:
South Texas and the Lower Texas Coast...Additional 1 to 3 inches,
isolated storm totals 6 inches.

WIND:  Gusty winds are still possible along the northeast Mexico and
southern Texas coast through tonight.

TORNADOES: A tornado or two are possible across far South Texas
through this evening.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky