000
WTNT32 KNHC 240855
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KARL ADVISORY NUMBER  40
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122016
500 AM AST SAT SEP 24 2016

...CENTER OF KARL PASSING TO THE SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA...
...HURRICANE WATCH DISCONTINUED FOR BERMUDA...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.7N 64.3W
ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM SE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Bermuda Weather Service has discontinued the Hurricane Watch for
Bermuda.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Bermuda

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case during the
next 6 to 12 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Karl was
located near latitude 31.7 North, longitude 64.3 West. Karl is
moving toward the northeast near 17 mph (28 km/h). This general
motion is expected along with a steady increase in forward speed
for the next couple of days. On the forecast track, Karl will
continue to move away from Bermuda today.

Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours and
Karl is expected to become a hurricane by tonight.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)
from the center.

Data from an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft indicate that
the minimum central pressure is 994 mb (29.36 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are spreading across Bermuda and
will continue through this morning.

RAINFALL:  Karl is expected to produce total rain accumulations
of 3 to 5 inches over Bermuda through today.

TORNADOES:  Isolated tornadoes are possible on Bermuda this morning.

SURF:  Swells generated by Karl are affecting Bermuda and are
expected to increase during the next couple of days.  These swells
are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions.  Please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Stewart