000 WTNT32 KNHC 121434 TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072014 1100 AM AST SUN OCT 12 2014 ...FAY MOVING AWAY FROM BERMUDA... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...34.0N 62.8W ABOUT 165 MI...265 KM NE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 24 MPH...39 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WATCH AND THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BERMUDA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... NONE FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.8 WEST. FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 24 MPH...39 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH AN ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM BERMUDA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY TODAY...BUT A GRADUAL WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN TONIGHT. FAY IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ON MONDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 986 MB...29.12 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE STILL AFFECTING BERMUDA... BUT THESE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. RAINFALL...RAINS OVER BERMUDA WILL DIMINISH TODAY. SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY FAY COULD STILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH-FACING SHORES OF BERMUDA THROUGH THIS MORNING. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER AVILA