000
WTNT32 KNHC 062035
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
SUBTROPICAL STORM OTTO ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL     AL172010
500 PM AST WED OCT 06 2010
 
...SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO SUBTROPICAL STORM OTTO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.2N 68.3W
ABOUT 215 MI...345 KM NE OF GRAND TURK ISLAND
ABOUT 665 MI...1070 KM SSW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.23 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM OTTO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.3 WEST. THE STORM
IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST AND THE NORTHEAST...ACCOMPANIED BY AN INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED...ARE FORECAST ON THURSDAY.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...
OTTO IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WELL TO THE EAST OF THE BAHAMAS AND THE
TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND OTTO COULD TRANSITION INTO A TROPICAL STORM BY
THURSDAY...AND THEN BECOME A HURRICANE BY THURSDAY NIGHT OR
FRIDAY MORNING.
 
WINDS OF 40 MPH EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM FROM THE
CENTER.
 
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHERN
LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO DURING THE
NEXT DAY OR SO.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART