000
WTNT32 KNHC 132026
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER  43
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL022008
500 PM AST SUN JUL 13 2008
 
...BERTHA STILL A VIGOROUS TROPICAL STORM...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.1 WEST OR ABOUT 175
MILES...285 KM...SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.
 
BERTHA HAS BEEN MEANDERING SINCE YESTERDAY BUT IT APPEARS THAT A
MOTION TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/HR SHOULD FINALLY
BEGIN TONIGHT. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF BERTHA IS
EXPECTED TO SLOWLY PASS NOT FAR TO THE SOUTHEAST AND EAST OF
BERMUDA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
 
DATA FROM A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS REMAIN NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  LITTLE
CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS
990 MB...29.23 INCHES.

LARGE SWELLS AND HIGH SURF ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA...AND THESE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
 
THE OUTER BANDS OF BERTHA COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN BERMUDA
OF 2 TO 4 INCHES DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. 
 
REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...30.2 N...63.1 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 2 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
PM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA