000
WTNT32 KNHC 121433
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER  38
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL022008
1100 AM AST SAT JUL 12 2008

...BERTHA REMAINS ADRIFT...
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BERMUDA.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BERTHA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 29.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.6 WEST OR ABOUT 210 MILES...
340 KM...SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.
 
BERTHA HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS BUT IS
FORECAST TO MOVE TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/HR LATER TODAY.
THIS GENERAL SLOW MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24
TO 48 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF BERTHA IS EXPECTED TO
SLOWLY PASS TO THE SOUTHEAST AND EAST OF BERMUDA...BUT THE MOTION
COULD OCCASIONALLY BE ERRATIC.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  BERTHA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WILL CHECK
BERTHA LATER TODAY.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES...220 KM.  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 976 MB...28.82 INCHES.

LARGE SWELLS AND HIGH SURF ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA...AND THESE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
 
THE OUTER BANDS OF BERTHA ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS
IN BERMUDA OF 1 TO 2 INCHES DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS.
 
REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION...29.9 N...62.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 2 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...976 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
PM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA