000
WTNT32 KNHC 120837
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER  37
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL022008
500 AM AST SAT JUL 12 2008

...LITTLE CHANGE IN THE MOTION OR INTENSITY OF BERTHA...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.  A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR THE ISLAND LATER TODAY.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 500 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BERTHA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 29.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.5 WEST OR ABOUT 225 MILES...
365 KM...SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.
 
BERTHA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR.  A
SLOW MOTION TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.  ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF BERTHA IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY
PASS TO THE SOUTHEAST AND EAST OF BERMUDA...BUT THE MOTION COULD
OCCASIONALLY BE ERRATIC.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  BERTHA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
140 MILES...220 KM.  IT IS POSSIBLE THAT BERTHA COULD COME CLOSE
ENOUGH TO BERMUDA WITHIN THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS TO BRING WINDS OF
TROPICAL STORM FORCE TO THAT ISLAND AND ADJACENT WATERS.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 976 MB...28.82 INCHES.
 
LARGE SWELLS AND HIGH SURF ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA...AND THESE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
 
THE OUTER BANDS OF BERTHA ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS
IN BERMUDA OF 1 TO 2 INCHES DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS.
 
REPEATING THE 500 AM AST POSITION...29.7 N...62.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...976 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN