000
WTNT32 KNHC 120541
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM OLGA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   5A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL172007
200 AM AST WED DEC 12 2007
 
...OLGA LOSING SOME ORGANIZATION AS IT CROSSES HISPANIOLA...HEAVY
RAINS CONTINUE...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST
OF HISPANIOLA FROM CABO ENGANO IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO LE MOLE
ST. NICHOLAS HAITI.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO PUNTA PALENQUE.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 200 AM AST...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OLGA WAS
LOCATED INLAND OVER HISPANIOLA NEAR LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE
71.4 WEST OR ABOUT 65 MILES... 105 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF
PORT-AU-PRINCE HAITI AND ABOUT 195 MILES...315 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST
OF THE EASTERN TIP OF CUBA.
 
OLGA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON
THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF A WEAKER OLGA SHOULD MOVE OVER THE
WINDWARD PASSAGE LATER TODAY AND THEN OVER THE WATERS BETWEEN CUBA
AND JAMAICA.
 
SURFACE OBSERVATION INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE
DECREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...80 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  OLGA IS
EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 240 MILES...390 KM
TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
 
OLGA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4
INCHES OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES OVER PUERTO RICO. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER HISPANIOLA WITH POSSIBLE
ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 10 INCHES. THESE RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO
PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES IN PUERTO
RICO AND HISPANIOLA.
 
REPEATING THE 200 AM AST POSITION...19.0 N...71.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 16 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN