000
WTNT32 KNHC 111156
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
SUBTROPICAL STORM OLGA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   2A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL172007
800 AM AST TUE DEC 11 2007
 
...CENTER OF OLGA NOW JUST WEST OF PUERTO RICO OVER THE MONA
PASSAGE...
...RAINBANDS BEGINNING TO SPREAD ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN COAST OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO BAHIO DE
MANZANILLO AT THE BORDER WITH HAITI...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
FROM CABO ENGANO TO PUNTA PALENQUE SOUTHWEST OF SANTO DOMINGO.
 
INTERESTS IN HAITI SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
OLGA...ESPECIALLY DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 800 AM AST...1200Z...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM OLGA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.6 WEST OR ABOUT 45
MILES...75 KM...EAST OF CABO ENGANO IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC....AND
ABOUT 155 MILES...250 KM...EAST OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC.
 
OLGA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE FOR NEXT DAY OR SO.  ON THIS
TRACK...THE CENTER OF OLGA SHOULD MOVE NEAR OR OVER HISPANIOLA
TODAY AND TONIGHT.
 
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND WSR-88D RADAR DATA FROM SAN JUAN PUERTO
RICO SUGGEST THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED AND ARE
NOW NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN
STRENGTH IS EXPECTED BEFORE OLGA REACHES THE COAST OF THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...BUT WEAKENING IS FORECAST THEREAFTER AS OLGA INTERACTS
WITH THE TERRAIN OF HISPANIOLA.
 
WINDS OF 40 MPH EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM...MAINLY TO
THE NORTHEAST FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS
IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
 
SUBTROPICAL STORM OLGA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
2 TO 4 INCHES OVER PUERTO RICO WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
6 INCHES.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER
HISPANIOLA WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 10 INCHES.
THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND
MUDSLIDES.
 
REPEATING THE 800 AM AST POSITION...18.4 N...67.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 15 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER KNABB/MAINELLI