000
WTNT32 KNHC 110552
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
SUBTROPICAL STORM OLGA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   1A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL172007
200 AM AST TUE DEC 11 2007
 
...OLGA A LITTLE STRONGER AS IT SPREADS HEAVY RAINS ACROSS PUERTO
RICO...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO BAHIO DE MANZANILLO
AT THE BORDER OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI...AND A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO PUNTA PALENQUE SOUTHWEST OF SANTO
DOMINGO.
 
INTERESTS IN HAITI SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF OLGA.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 200 AM AST...0600Z...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM OLGA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.3 WEST OR ABOUT 20
MILES...35 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO AND ABOUT
240 MILES...385 KM...EAST OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC.
 
OLGA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION
SHOULD CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO.  ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF
OLGA WILL MOVE ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF PUERTO RICO EARLY THIS
MORNING...AND NEAR OR OVER THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC LATER TODAY.
 
OBSERVATIONS FROM NOAA BUOY 41043 INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
HAVE INCREASED AND ARE NOW NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS...MAINLY WELL TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.  SOME ADDITIONAL
SLOW STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE THE CENTER REACHES THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.
 
WINDS OF 40 MPH EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM TO THE NORTH
OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.  SAN
JUAN INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT RECENTLY REPORTED A PRESSURE OF 1005.8
MB...29.70 INCHES.
 
SUBTROPICAL STORM OLGA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
2 TO 4 INCHES OVER PUERTO RICO WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
6 INCHES.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER
HISPANIOLA WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 10 INCHES.
THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND
MUDSLIDES.
 
REPEATING THE 200 AM EDT POSITION...18.5 N...66.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 18 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER KNABB/MAINELLI