000
WTNT32 KNHC 290845
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KAREN ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122007
500 AM AST SAT SEP 29 2007

...KAREN HANGING ON TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH...
 
AT 500 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 52.9 WEST OR ABOUT 590
MILES...950 KM...EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.
 
KAREN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...
AND A MOTION BETWEEN WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED FOR
THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  KAREN COULD WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IN THE NEXT 24
HOURS DUE TO STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
 
REPEATING THE 500 AM AST POSITION...16.6 N...52.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI