000 WTNT32 KNHC 040225 TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM LARRY ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM CDT FRI OCT 03 2003 ...LARRY DRIFTS SLOWLY AND ERRATICALLY TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST... AT 10 PM CDT...0000Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH NORTHWARD FROM VERACRUZ TO TUXPAN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH ARE NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM TUXPAN TO CAMPECHE. AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LARRY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.7 WEST OR ABOUT 105 MILES...170 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF VERACRUZ MEXICO. LARRY IS DRIFTING SLOWLY AND ERRATICALLY TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST AND A MOSTLY SOUTHWARD DRIFT IS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO MOVE LARRY CLOSER TO THE COAST OF MEXICO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WILL BE IN AREA EARLY SATURDAY MORNING TO DETERMINE IF LARRY HAS STRENGTHENED. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES ...230 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY INCREASE IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH LARRY ARE SPREADING ONSHORE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...19.8 N... 94.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...SOUTHWEST NEAR 2 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 995 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 AM CDT. FORECASTER LAWRENCE