000
WTNT31 KNHC 150234
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JULIA ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112016
1100 PM EDT WED SEP 14 2016

...JULIA FORECAST TO MEANDER JUST OFF THE SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES
COAST...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.1N 79.8W
ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM SSE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Julia was
located near latitude 32.1 North, longitude 79.8 West. Julia is
moving toward the east-northeast near 5 mph (7 km/h), and a slow
erratic motion is expected over the next couple of days. The
forecast keeps Julia meandering just off the northern Georgia and
southern South Carolina coastlines into Friday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some slight strengthening is possible on Thursday, but
gradual weakening should begin thereafter.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)
to the east of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Winds to tropical storm force in a few brief squalls are
possible along portions of the South Carolina coast tonight and
Thursday.

RAINFALL: Julia is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
2 to 4 inches, with local amounts of up to 6 inches along the
immediate coastline of South Carolina and southeast North Carolina
through Friday.  This rainfall could lead to flooding and
flash flooding.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Avila