000 WTNT31 KNHC 140551 TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JULIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 1A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112016 200 AM EDT WED SEP 14 2016 ...RAINS FROM JULIA CONTINUE TO SPREAD ONSHORE ALONG THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS... SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.5N 81.8W ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM NNW OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA ABOUT 50 MI...85 KM SSW OF BRUNSWICK GEORGIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.85 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Ponte Vedra Beach to Altamaha Sound For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 200 AM EDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Julia was located near latitude 30.5 North, longitude 81.8 West. Julia is moving toward the north-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue overnight with a reduction in forward speed later today. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected overnight. Julia is forecast to weaken to a tropical depression by late Wednesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km), mainly over water to the northeast of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1011 mb (29.85 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical-storm-force winds are already occuring within portions of the tropical storm warning area. RAINFALL: Julia is expected to produce 3 to 6 inches of rain near the northeast Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina coastlines through Friday afternoon. Isolated totals of 10 inches are possible. This rainfall could lead to flash flooding. Flooding may be further compounded with persistent strong onshore flow reducing river and stream discharges. TORNADOES: An isolated tornado or two will be possible through this morning across parts of northeastern Florida and southeastern Georgia. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Brown/Cangialosi