000 WTNT31 KNHC 140244 TCPAT1 BULLETIN SUBTROPICAL STORM ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012016 1100 PM AST WED JAN 13 2016 ...ALEX STRENGTHENS A LITTLE... ...FORECAST TO MOVE TOWARD THE AZORES... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...28.7N 30.0W ABOUT 665 MI...1070 KM SSW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- Interests in the Azores should monitor the progress of Alex. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Subtropical Storm Alex was located near latitude 28.7 North, longitude 30.0 West. The storm is moving toward the northeast near 17 mph (28 km/h). A turn toward the north and an increase in forward speed are expected on Thursday. On the forecast track, the center of Alex is expected to move near or over the Azores late Thursday night or Friday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast tonight and Thursday. Alex is expected to become an extratropical low with storm-force winds as it approaches the Azores Thursday night and Friday. Winds of 40 mph extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 988 mb (29.18 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Gale force winds are expected to begin over portions of Azores by late Thursday or early Friday. Storm force winds are possible over portions of the Azores on Friday. RAINFALL: Alex is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 3 to 5 inches over the Azores through Friday, with possible isolated maximum amounts of 7 inches. These rains may produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Beven