000
WTNT31 KNHC 010238
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1100 PM AST MON AUG 31 2015

...FRED WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.9N 25.2W
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM N OF SANTO ANTAO IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The meteorological service of the Cape Verde Islands has changed
the Hurricane Warning to a Tropical Storm Warning for Sao Vicente,
Sao Nicolau, Santo Antao, and Santa Luzia, and discontinued all
warnings for the remainder of the Cape Verde Islands.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Sao Vicente, Sao Nicolau, Santo Antao, and Santa Luzia in the
  Cape Verde Islands

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 17.9 North, longitude 25.2 West. Fred is
moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h).  A turn toward
the west-northwest is expected on Tuesday.  On the forecast track,
the center will continue to move away from the Cape Verde Islands.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 70 mph (110 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Continued weakening is forecast during the next
48 hours.  Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles
(130 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb (29.39 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions will affect portions of the
Cape Verde Islands within the warning area for the next few hours.
Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains
are often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this advisory,
and in some elevated locations can be even greater.

STORM SURGE:  A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding
in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands.  Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.

RAINFALL:  Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 6 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches.  These rains are likely to produce
life-threatening flash flooding and mud slides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch