000 WTNT31 KNHC 061143 TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM TOMAS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 33A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 800 AM EDT SAT NOV 06 2010 ...CENTER OF TOMAS MOVING AWAY FROM THE TURKS AND CAICOS INTO THE OPEN ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.5N 70.9W ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM N OF GRAND TURK ISLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.29 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR HAITI HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS * THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI BORDER EASTWARD TO PUERTO PLATA THE TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WILL LIKELY BE LOWERED LATER THIS MORNING. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TOMAS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.9 WEST. TOMAS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR. A NORTHEASTWARD MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THE CENTER OF TOMAS WILL BE MOVING AWAY FROM THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS THIS MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF HAITI...THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC... THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND PUERTO RICO. AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI...WHICH COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING THIS MORNING IN PORTIONS OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA. STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. STORM SURGE FLOODING SHOULD DIMINISH LATER TODAY. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM EDT. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN