000
WTNT31 KNHC 310838
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE TOMAS ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL     AL212010
500 AM AST SUN OCT 31 2010
 
...TOMAS STILL PRODUCING RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS ACROSS THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.0N 62.9W
ABOUT 130 MI...205 KM W OF ST. LUCIA
ABOUT 370 MI...595 KM SE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...160 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICA
* MARTINIQUE
* ST. LUCIA
* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES
 
THESE WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE TOMAS WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.9 WEST. TOMAS IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A TURN
TOWARD THE WEST ON MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
TOMAS WILL CONTINUE MOVING AWAY FROM THE WINDWARD ISLANDS OVERNIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS.  TOMAS IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.  SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED
TODAY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH EXPECTED FROM SUNDAY NIGHT
THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY. 
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES...65 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.

IN THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS...MARTINIQUE REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 43
MPH...69 KM/HR. 
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON DATA FROM AN AIR
FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE STILL OCCURRING WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA...BUT WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE LATER TODAY.
 
RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD AND
SOUTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS THROUGH TODAY.  ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM
TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH TOMAS.
 
STORM SURGE...WATER LEVELS WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WILL CONTINUE TO
DIMINISH TODAY.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN