000 WTNT31 KNHC 292033 TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM NICOLE ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162010 500 PM EDT WED SEP 29 2010 ...NICOLE DISSIPATES OVER THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA...LARGE AREA OF HEAVY RAINS PERSISTS... SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.5N 80.0W ABOUT 175 MI...285 KM ENE OF HAVANA CUBA ABOUT 165 MI...270 KM W OF NASSAU MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.41 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENTS OF CUBA...GRAND CAYMAN...AND THE BAHAMAS HAVE DISCONTINUED ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... NONE FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AIRCRAFT AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THE CIRCULATION OF NICOLE HAS DEGENERATED INTO AN ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...TROPICAL STORM NICOLE HAS DISSIPATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.0 WEST. THE REMNANTS OF NICOLE WERE MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF NICOLE SHOULD GRADUALLY SUBSIDE...BUT A STRONG NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WITH GALE FORCE WINDS IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NEAR THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 345 MILES...555 KM TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...NICOLE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...JAMAICA...AND CUBA. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF CUBA AND JAMAICA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. STORM TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN FLORIDA...THE FLORIDA KEYS...AND THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST BAHAMAS. WIND...WINDS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN CUBA...THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST BAHAMAS...AND ADJACENT WATERS TONIGHT. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ALTHOUGH NICOLE HAS DISSIPATED...THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER IN WASHINGTON DC IS ISSUING STORM SUMMARIES ON THE DEVELOPING NON-TROPICAL LOW UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDSCCNS5 AND WMO HEADER ACUS45 KWBC. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE... UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER BROWN/PASCH