000 WTNT31 KNHC 270239 TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010 1000 PM CDT SAT JUN 26 2010 ...ALEX MOVING INLAND OVER BELIZE... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.7N 88.4W ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM NW OF BELIZE CITY ABOUT 205 MI...330 KM SE OF CAMPECHE MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE COAST OF HONDURAS HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF BELIZE AND THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM CHETUMAL TO CANCUN FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.4 WEST. ALEX IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...ALEX WILL MOVE ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...AND ENTER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO BY SUNDAY NIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST TONIGHT AND SUNDAY WHILE ALEX MOVES OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST ON SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY AFTER ALEX MOVES OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM FROM THE CENTER...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...SOUTHERN MEXICO... NORTHERN GUATEMALA...MUCH OF HONDURAS AND BELIZE THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. THESE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE OVERNIGHT AS ALEX WEAKENS. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 AM CDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN