000 WTNT31 KNHC 262331 TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ALEX INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010 700 PM CDT SAT JUN 26 2010 ...ALEX NEAR THE COAST OF BELIZE...HEAVY RAINS SPREADING INTO NORTHERN GUATEMALA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA... SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.4N 88.1W ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM SE OF BELIZE CITY ABOUT 75 MI...125 KM S OF CHETUMAL MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.41 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE ISLANDS OF ROATAN...GUANAJA...AND UTILA. THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM TELA EASTWARD TO LIMON. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF BELIZE AND THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM CHETUMAL TO CANCUN A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM TELA WESTWARD TO THE BORDER OF HONDURAS AND GUATEMALA FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.1 WEST. ALEX IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS. ON THIS TRACK...ALEX WILL MOVE INLAND OVER BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA THIS EVENING...MOVE ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...AND ENTER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON OR SUNDAY EVENING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED WHILE THE CYCLONE MOVES OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AFTER ALEX MOVES OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...NORTHERN GUATEMALA...MUCH OF HONDURAS AND BELIZE THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN