000
WTNT31 KNHC 080847
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IDA ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL112009
300 AM CST SUN NOV 08 2009
 
...IDA MOVING NORTHWESTWARD...WILL MOVE NEAR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
LATER TODAY...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO FROM PLAYA DEL CARMEN TO CABO CATOCHE.  A HURRICANE WARNING
MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE WARNING AREA.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO FROM TULUM TO PLAYA DEL CARMEN.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GRAND CAYMAN ISLAND.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA ALLEN NORTHWARD TO SAN FELIPE.  A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF
PINAR DEL RIO.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE MARINE AND COASTAL FLOOD WATCHES AND
WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. 

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED
STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
AT 300 AM CST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IDA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.6 WEST OR ABOUT 85 MILES...
135 KM...EAST OF COZUMEL MEXICO AND ABOUT 95 MILES...150 KM...
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA.
 
IDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR. A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AND THEN NORTH IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...IDA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE YUCATAN CHANNEL AND
INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO LATER TODAY...PASSING CLOSE TO
THE NORTHEASTERN TIP OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. 
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  IDA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND IDA COULD BECOME A
CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE TODAY OR TONIGHT. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS
EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY LATE MONDAY. 
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES...220 KM.
 
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVER HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 984 MB...29.06 INCHES.

IDA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES
OVER PORTIONS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND WESTERN CUBA...WITH
POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES.  
 
A STORM SURGE COULD RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 3 TO 4 FEET
ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...WITH
LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES. 

...SUMMARY OF 300 AM CST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...20.5N 85.6W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 12 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 600 AM CST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 900
AM CST.
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN/KIMBERLAIN