000
WTNT31 KNHC 072347
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM IDA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  14A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL112009
700 PM EST SAT NOV 07 2009
 
...IDA TURNS TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO FROM TULUM TO CABO CATOCHE.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY
WITHIN 36 HOURS.  A HURRICANE WARNING COULD BE REQUIRED FOR A
PORTION OF THE WATCH AREA LATER THIS EVENING.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GRAND CAYMAN ISLAND.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA ALLEN NORTHWARD TO SAN FELIPE.  A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF
PINAR DEL RIO.  HURRICANE FORCE WINDS COULD SPREAD ACROSS PORTIONS
OF WESTERN CUBA ON SUNDAY AND A HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED
FOR THIS AREA LATER TONIGHT.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
AT 700 PM EST...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IDA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.4 WEST OR ABOUT 180
MILES...290 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF COZUMEL MEXICO AND ABOUT 165
MILES...270 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA.
 
IDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR.
THIS GENERAL HEADING WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...IDA IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE YUCATAN CHANNEL ON SUNDAY AND INTO THE
SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SUNDAY NIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  IDA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE TONIGHT OR
SUNDAY...BUT WEAKENING IS FORECAST AFTER IT ENTERS THE GULF OF
MEXICO.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.  NOAA BUOY 42056 IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA
RECENTLY REPORTED A 1-MINUTE SUSTAINED WIND OF 45 MPH...72 KM/HR.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES.
 
IDA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES
OVER PORTIONS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND WESTERN CUBA...WITH
POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE ACROSS THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
...SUMMARY OF 700 PM EST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...19.5N 84.4W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 10 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1000 PM EST.
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG/FRANKLIN