000
WTNT31 KNHC 152046
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162008
500 PM EDT WED OCT 15 2008
 
...CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION CONTINUES MOVING INLAND IN NORTHEASTERN
HONDURAS...
...MAIN CONCERN IS HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOOD THREAT IN CENTRAL
AMERICA...

AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS DROPPED THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE NORTHERN BELIZE COAST NORTH OF
BELIZE CITY.  THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS DROPPED THE TROPICAL
STORM WARNING FOR THE ENTIRE HONDURAS COAST.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BELIZE
COAST TO THE GUATEMALA/HONDURAS BORDER.  A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF
GUATEMALA.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.4 WEST OR ABOUT
25 MILES... 40 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF LIMON HONDURAS AND ABOUT 215
MILES...345 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MONKEY RIVER TOWN BELIZE.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GRADUAL WEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED AND THE SYSTEM MAY BECOME A
REMNANT LOW WITHIN A COUPLE OF DAYS.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO
8 INCHES OVER NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA...NORTHERN HONDURAS...
BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
UP TO 15 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...15.5 N...85.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
PM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA/STEWART