000 WTNT31 KNHC 231438 TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER 32 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062008 1000 AM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008 ...FAY STILL DRENCHING THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND THE PANHANDLE... AT 10 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED SOUTHWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST FROM SUWANEE RIVER FLORIDA WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT WEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA...INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 1000 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.6 WEST OR ABOUT 100 MILES...160 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA. FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...FAY WILL BE NEAR OR OVER THE GULF COAST OF THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND NEAR OR OVER THE GULF COAST OF MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA ON SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM FROM THE CENTER MAINLY OVER WATER SOUTH OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS. ABOVE NORMAL TIDES ALONG THE GEORGIA AND FLORIDA ATLANTIC COAST SHOULD SUBSIDE TODAY. FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS ACROSS THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA...THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF BOTH MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA...AND EASTERN LOUISIANA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES POSSIBLE. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT IN PORTIONS OF NORTHERN FLORIDA...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA. REPEATING THE 1000 AM CDT POSITION...30.1 N...85.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 100 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 400 PM CDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA