000 WTNT31 KNHC 230549 TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 30A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062008 200 AM EDT SAT AUG 23 2008 ...CENTER OF FAY MOVING INTO THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE OVER NORTHERN FLORIDA...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST FROM SUWANEE RIVER FLORIDA WESTWARD TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ ALABAMA BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. THIS WATCH DOES NOT INCLUDE LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN OR THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 200 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.7 WEST OR JUST SOUTHWEST OF CARRABELLE FLORIDA. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 20 MILES...30 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA AND ABOUT 45 MILES...70 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF TALLAHASSEE FLORIDA. FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...TAKING FAY NEAR OR OVER THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST TODAY AND SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND FAY IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM INTO SUNDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM...MAINLY TO THE SOUTH FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS STILL POSSIBLE ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AND GEORGIA TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER OF FAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS ALSO POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA ALONG THE FLORIDA GULF COAST IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS. FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...SOUTHERN ALABAMA...AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE. ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA IN OUTER RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH FAY. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER COASTAL SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA. ISOLATED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 20 TO 30 INCHES HAVE BEEN OBSERVED WITH FAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE EAST-CENTRAL COAST OF FLORIDA. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY IN PORTIONS OF NORTHERN FLORIDA...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA. REPEATING THE 200 AM EDT POSITION...29.8 N...84.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 AM EDT. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN