000
WTNT31 KNHC 200855
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
500 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2008

...FAY MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST OF CENTRAL
FLORIDA...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING EXTENDED NORTHWARD...
 
AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN
EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF JUPITER INLET FLORIDA
NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH
FLORIDA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ALTAMAHA
SOUND TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 500 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 28.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.6 WEST OR VERY NEAR
MELBOURNE FLORIDA AND ABOUT 15 MILES... 20 KM...SOUTH OF CAPE
CANAVERAL FLORIDA.
 
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY.  A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AND FAY IS
LIKELY TO REMAIN NEAR OR OVER THE EAST-CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN
FLORIDA COAST THROUGH THURSDAY.
 
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR DATA
INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 50 MPH...85
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...MOSTLY OVER WATER WELL TO THE EAST OF
THE CENTER.  SOME GRADUAL RESTRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS BEFORE FAY MOVES BACK INLAND OVER NORTHEASTERN
FLORIDA ON THURSDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 MB...29.32 INCHES.
 
FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES
OVER EAST-CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...WITH MAXIMUM TOTAL
AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES.  ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
 
STORM TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
EAST COAST OF FLORIDA TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER OF FAY.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN
FLORIDA.
 
REPEATING THE 500 AM EDT POSITION...28.2 N...80.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 5 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
AM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART/FRANKLIN