000
WTNT31 KNHC 192042
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
500 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008

...FAY HEADING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA... 
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA
EAST COAST FROM JUPITER SOUTHWARD HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF JUPITER TO FLAGLER BEACH...INCLUDING LAKE
OKEECHOBEE.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE
FLORIDA EAST COAST NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO ALTAMAHA SOUND...
GEORGIA...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH OF
ALTAMAHA SOUND TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 27.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.0 WEST OR ABOUT 60 MILES...
95 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MELBOURNE FLORIDA.
 
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH...13
KM/HR....AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TONIGHT. A GRADUAL
TURN TO THE NORTH WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS ANTICIPATED
ON WEDNESDAY. THIS TRACK SHOULD BRING FAY OVER WATER NEAR THE EAST
COAST OF NORTH FLORIDA DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. 
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER. A SOUTH FLORIDA WATER MANAGEMENT STATION ALONG THE
CENTRAL KISSIMMEE RIVER RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 60
MPH...97 KM/HR.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 986 MB...29.12 INCHES.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10
INCHES OVER THE SOUTHERN AND EAST-CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA..WITH
MAXIMUM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES. ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
 
STORM TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AS FAY APPROACHES.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF EAST-CENTRAL 
FLORIDA PENINSULA.
 
REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...27.3 N...81.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB.
 
INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 700 PM EDT AND 900 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE
ADVISORY AT 1100 PM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA