000
WTNT31 KNHC 190852
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
500 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008
 
...FAY MAKING LANDFALL AT CAPE ROMANO...

AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...ALL HURRICANE WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED.
 
AT 5 AM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE WEST
COAST OF FLORIDA FROM THE MIDDLE OF LONGBOAT KEY SOUTHWARD...AND
ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM FLAGLER BEACH SOUTHWARD...
INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN
REEF TO THE WEST END OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...INCLUDING FLORIDA
BAY.  ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ELSEWHERE ARE DISCONTINUED.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO FERNANDINA BEACH.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 500 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 25.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.7 WEST...ON THE FLORIDA
COASTLINE AT CAPE ROMANO...OR ABOUT 55 MILES... 90 KM...SOUTH OF
FT. MYERS FLORIDA.
 
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY...TAKING THE CENTER OF FAY
ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA.  A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AND A
TURN TO THE NORTH IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY. 
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SLOW WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS FAY MOVES INLAND.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS
989 MB...29.21 INCHES.
 
FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN AND EAST-CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA.  ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO
5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

STORM TIDES OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF FLORIDA NEAR THE CENTER OF FAY.  TIDES OF 2
TO 4 FT ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE IN THE FLORIDA KEYS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL
FLORIDA.

REPEATING THE 500 AM EDT POSITION...25.9 N...81.7 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
AM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN