000
WTNT31 KNHC 010000
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   2A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL012008
700 PM CDT SAT MAY 31 2008
 
...POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING CONTINUES AS ARTHUR MOVES
SLOWLY WESTWARD OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF BELIZE
AND FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CABO CATOCHE
SOUTHWARD TO THE BORDER WITH BELIZE.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 700 PM CDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR WAS
LOCATED INLAND OVER THE SOUTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO NEAR
LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.2 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES...90
KM...WEST OF CHETUMAL MEXICO AND ABOUT 175 MILES...285 KM... EAST OF
CIUDAD DEL CARMEN MEXICO.

ARTHUR IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...
AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT.  ON THIS
TRACK...THE CENTER OF ARTHUR WILL CROSS THE SOUTHERN YUCATAN
PENINSULA TONIGHT AND COULD EMERGE OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE ON
SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS...MAINLY EAST OF THE CENTER OVER THE WATERS OF THE
NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA.  ARTHUR IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A
DEPRESSION TONIGHT...BUT IT COULD LATER REGAIN TROPICAL STORM
STRENGTH IF IT EMERGES OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 260 MILES...415 KM
TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
 
ARTHUR IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10
INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 15 INCHES.  THESE RAINS COULD
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.

REPEATING THE 700 PM CDT POSITION...18.4 N...89.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1000 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER KNABB