000
WTNT31 KNHC 312055
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL012008
500 PM EDT SAT MAY 31 2008
 
...ARTHUR MOVING SLOWLY OVER YUCATAN...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF BELIZE
AND FOR THE COAST OF YUCATAN FROM CABO CATOCHE SOUTHWARD TO THE
BORDER WITH BELIZE.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.9 WEST OR ABOUT 75
MILES...125 KM...NORTHWEST OF BELIZE CITY AND ABOUT 195 MILES...315
KM...SOUTHWEST OF COZUMEL MEXICO.
 
ARTHUR IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...
AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST IS EXPECTED TOMORROW.  ON THIS
TRACK...THE CENTER OF ARTHUR COULD EMERGE OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE
SUNDAY. 
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS MAINLY OVER WATER EAST OF THE CENTER.  ARTHUR IS EXPECTED TO 
WEAKEN TO A DEPRESSION TONIGHT...BUT IT COULD THEN REGAIN TROPICAL
STORM STRENGTH IF IT EMERGES OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. 
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 260 MILES...415 KM
TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

ARTHUR IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10
INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 15 INCHES.  THESE RAINS COULD
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. 
 
REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...18.4 N...88.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
PM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA/RHOME