000
WTNT31 KNHC 012033
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM NOEL ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162007
500 PM EDT THU NOV 01 2007
 
...NOEL ACCELERATING THROUGH THE BAHAMAS...

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL AND
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
 
A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NOEL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.1 WEST OR ABOUT 40
MILES... 65 KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF NASSAU AND ABOUT 205 MILES...330
KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF WEST PALM BEACH FLORIDA.
 
NOEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR. 
AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  NOEL IS EXPECTED TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS OR SO...BUT THEN STRENGTHEN AND INCREASE IN SIZE AS
AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE.  INTERESTS ALONG THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM
NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD SHOULD CONSULT STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THEIR
LOCAL NWS FORECAST OFFICE.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 MB...29.32 INCHES.
 
ABOVE NORMAL TIDES ARE LIKELY WITHIN THE WARNING AREAS.
 
NOEL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10
INCHES IN THE BAHAMAS...WITH POSSIBLE MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 18 INCHES.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED
OVER EASTERN CUBA...WHERE THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF AN INCH OR SO ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE OUTER BANKS OF NORTH CAROLINA.
 
REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...25.5 N...77.1 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
PM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN