000
WTNT31 KNHC 231427
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
SUBTROPICAL STORM JERRY ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL112007
1100 AM AST SUN SEP 23 2007

...SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS TO A SUBTROPICAL STORM...NO
THREAT TO LAND...

AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM JERRY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 46.3 WEST OR ABOUT 1070
MILES...1725 KM...WEST OF THE AZORES.
 
THE STORM IS NEARLY STATIONARY...BUT A SLOW NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATER TODAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED BY TONIGHT OR EARLY ON MONDAY.  ON THIS TRACK THE STORM WILL
BE MOVING OVER THE OPEN WATERS OF THE NORTH CENTRAL ATLANTIC...WELL
TO THE WEST OF THE AZORES.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...AND JERRY IS LIKELY TO ACQUIRE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS
LATER TODAY.
 
WINDS OF 40 MPH EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM FROM THE
CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION...36.0 N...46.3 W.  MOVEMENT...
STATIONARY.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE...1004 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH