000
WTNT31 KNHC 040249
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FELIX ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062007
1100 PM EDT MON SEP 03 2007
 
...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE FELIX NOW LESS THAN 12 HOURS FROM
LANDFALL...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR NICARAGUA FROM PUERTO CABEZAS
NORTHWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER...AND FOR HONDURAS FROM
LIMON EASTWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER.  PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HONDURAS WEST OF LIMON...FOR
THE CARIBBEAN COAST OF GUATEMALA...AND FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF
BELIZE.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ISLA DE PROVIDENCIA.
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF NICARAGUA HAS ISSUED
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM SOUTH OF PUERTO CABEZAS TO
PRINZAPOLKA.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
 
AT 11 PM EDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING FROM WEST OF LIMON TO THE HONDURAS/GUATEMALA
BORDER...INCLUDING ISLAS DE LA BAHIA.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 1100 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FELIX WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 14.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.1 WEST OR ABOUT 145 MILES...
235 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON THE
NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER.
 
FELIX IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/HR.  A WESTWARD
TRACK WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS.  THE CENTER OF FELIX IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR OR
JUST SOUTH OF THE BORDER BETWEEN NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS TOMORROW
MORNING.   
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  FELIX IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED IN THE FINAL HOURS PRIOR TO
LANDFALL.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES...165 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 951 MB...28.08 INCHES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING IN EXCESS OF 18 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS
POSSIBLE TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
 
FELIX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 5 TO 10 INCHES OF RAIN ACROSS NORTHERN
NICARAGUA AND MUCH OF HONDURAS...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION...14.4 N...81.1 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 20 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...951 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
AM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN