901 
WTPZ25 KNHC 040233
TCMEP5
 
TROPICAL STORM OCTAVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152025
0300 UTC SAT OCT 04 2025
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 122.7W AT 04/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  40SE   0SW  60NW.
4 M SEAS.... 90NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 122.7W AT 04/0300Z
AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 122.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 14.2N 123.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 14.8N 124.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 15.3N 124.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 15.5N 123.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 15.7N 123.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 15.5N 121.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 15.0N 120.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 14.8N 117.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N 122.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BUCCI