000
WTPZ25 KNHC 021438
TCMEP5
 
HURRICANE DORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052023
1500 UTC WED AUG 02 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 114.2W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  977 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE   5SE   5SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 40NE  20SE  30SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  45SE  45SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 114.2W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 113.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 15.4N 116.4W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   5SE   5SW  10NW.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  20SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 15.0N 119.3W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 14.6N 122.3W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 14.1N 125.4W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 13.7N 128.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 13.3N 131.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 12.7N 138.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 12.5N 145.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 114.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN