000
WTPZ25 KNHC 121444
TCMEP5
 
HURRICANE DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052022
1500 UTC TUE JUL 12 2022
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 129.7W AT 12/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  959 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..135NE  75SE  60SW 105NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 129.7W AT 12/1500Z
AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 129.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 14.8N 131.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 15.2N 134.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 15.8N 137.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 16.4N 139.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 16.9N 142.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 17.2N 144.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 17.1N 150.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 129.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN