000
WTPZ25 KNHC 072040
TCMEP5
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152021
2100 UTC TUE SEP 07 2021
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 107.9W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 107.9W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 107.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 18.4N 108.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 19.0N 108.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 20.0N 109.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 21.1N 110.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 22.4N 112.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 23.4N 113.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 24.5N 116.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 24.5N 118.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.2N 107.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER LATTO