000
WTPZ25 KNHC 051431
TCMEP5
 
TROPICAL STORM XAVIER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP252018
1500 UTC MON NOV 05 2018
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUNTA SAN TELMO TO PLAYA PERULA... MEXICO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 106.2W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT.......100NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 106.2W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 106.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 18.7N 107.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 18.9N 108.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 18.9N 109.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 18.8N 111.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 18.5N 113.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N 106.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG