000
WTPZ25 KNHC 050233
TCMEP5

TROPICAL STORM XAVIER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP252018
0300 UTC MON NOV 05 2018

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUNTA SAN TELMO TO PLAYA PERULA... MEXICO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 105.7W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......120NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  75SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 105.7W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 105.6W

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 18.8N 106.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 19.3N 107.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 19.6N 108.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 19.8N 109.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 19.7N 112.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 19.5N 113.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  15 KT...GUSTS  20 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N 105.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH